All Posts Tagged With: "sports"

Future Book Betting Pitfalls And How To Avoid Them

Sports book futures bets are an increasing popular and potentially profitable way to wager on the outcome of a full season. There’s a few common mistakes that novice players make that can be easily avoided by paying attention to the following:

Search for the best price: A common mistake is to assume that the price on a specific futures wager position will be the same at every sportsbook. Nothing could be further from the truth. In fact, you’ll often see a greater degree of difference between futures prices from book to book than any other form of bet. This is because that books aren’t as worried about what price other outfits are offering as they are about keeping their own financial position balanced.

Don’t fixate on picking the winner from a competitive field: This may sound like strange advice, but from a theoretical standpoint it makes perfect sense. As with every other element of sport wagering its crucial to always focus not on winners and losers, but on the value you’re getting on individual bets. For example, in most years there are several teams with a realistic shot of winning at the start of the NCAA basketball tournament. The problem is that these top teams invariably offer low paybacks that are less than their ‘true odds’ of winning. Every team is subject to the same variables like injuries, slumps, bad matchups but backing teams that are ‘under the radar’ at higher prices offer more compensation for these ‘risks’.

In more theoretical terms, the ‘true odds’ of a Duke or similar top team winning the tournament are almost always higher than the price offered. Think of it this way–say we’re betting Duke to win the national title at 2/1. This means that the Blue Devils would have to win more than 33% of the time to break even. So lets say, for the sake of argument, that we could play the tournament over 100 times. Would Duke come out on top more than 33 of these times? If not, they represent a poor value. Let’s say that they win 30 of 100 times. This means that any price under +333 or thereabouts is a poor wagering value.

Note that the more competitive the market, the more difficult it is to find good value on a favorite. In a smaller field, or in a field with one dominant competitor it can be easier. For example, say the UFC were to have a tournament involving heavyweight champion Brock Lesnar and three male figure skaters. Even if Lesnar was slightly injured, or not at the top of his game he’d essentially have a 100% chance of beating the smaller, effeminate men who are untrained to fight. If a book installed Lesnar as a -1000 favorite in this spot, it could still be considered a good value. It’s never easy to risk a lot to win a little, but from strictly a mathematical standpoint it makes sense.

Don’t go for the big killing: Sports wagering is not a good arena in which to make a ‘big killing’. It may happen from time to time, but it is extremely rare. A perennial doormat can come out of nowhere to win a championship at a big price, but the fact that it happens from time to time doesn’t make it a good value. If you’re a recreational player and want to throw a few dollars at a big long shot, no real harm. If you aspire to any degree of seriousness as a sports better, however, you need to maintain your discipline and commitment to value at all times. If you want to hit a big jackpot play the lottery or the slot machines, but don’t try to do it in a sports betting paradigm.

On a more theoretical level, a big price alone is no way to justify a wager. The concept of value works the same at the bottom of the barrel as it does at the top: make sure the price you’re getting on an underdog accurately reflects their “true odds” of winning.

Don’t bet one-sided futures or propositions: Though many of these are not futures per se, a lot of sportsbooks offer silly propositions on nonsport events as a way to get publicity, or just to be funny. Its important to make a distinction between this type of silly bet and more realistic nonsport propositions which frequently present good wagering value. Im talking the really outlandish stuff here. Not too long ago, a sportsbook posted a line on Martians landing on earth and painting the White House red by the end of the year. The “YES” was +2500 or thereabouts, which is far from reflective of the “true odds” of this unlikely event. Even if you’re the type that collects classic Art Bell shows on tape and believes in UFOs you wouldn’t place the probability of this happening at more than a fraction of a percent. The book only offered the “YES” side of the proposition, meaning that you couldn’t lay even a huge price on the more likely outcome. Another book had a futures offering for what would happen first with Ashton Kutcher, Demi Moore and Bruce Willis. All of the options were very unlikely–Ashton and Bruce fighting on PPV and my favorite–and the longest odds–Ashton, Bruce and Demi hopping in bed together and releasing a porno video documenting the event. You’d receive a sizable payback if any of the events ever transpired, but I’m not exactly sure how to compute the “true odds” on “when pigs fly.

Ross Everett is a experienced freelance writer specializing in travel, casino gambling and sports handicapping. He is a staff handicapper for Anatta Sports where he is responsible for providing daily free sports picks. In his spare time he enjoys fine dining, fencing and deep sea diving. He lives in Las Vegas with four dogs and a pet coyote.

Basic Concepts Of Sports Betting Futures

Many serious sports bettors consider the futures wager the province of rank amateurs trying to go for the big killing. They’re the sports betting equivalent of the wanna-be stock investor who always gripes if only I had bought Microsoft when they went public. They’re not the type who’ll do the work to grind out profits in the market, nor are they forward thinking enough to find the next big company to go public. They’d rather lay some money on a high priced dog and hope for the best, which seldom (if ever) occurs. Right now at some sportsbooks a $100 bet on the Cincinnati Bengals to win the 2010 Superbowl will pay back $10,000. The problem is that the true odds of Cincinnati winning the Superbowl are probably in the range of 50,000 to 1 which makes the +10000 you’re getting in this bet a bad value from the get-go.

For the more serious bettor, there’s a number of obvious problems with futures wagers. They require that your wagering ‘capital’ be tied up for months. Furthermore, once you’ve placed your bet you’re at the mercy of injuries, suspensions, trades and the other numerous factors that can spell defeat for a sports team. It’s no simple task keeping up with these variables on a day to day basis, and predicting them over a longer term is the province of psychics and not sports handicappers.

So why bet futures at all? More so than anything else, its essential to think of sports wagering not in terms of who wins or loses, but in terms of value. Properly utilized, future book wagers are often a great source of value. Below are some of the ways I like to use future wagers:

Futures can be a good way to leverage value on propositions where your knowledge is greater than the bookmaker’s. For example, many sports books offer betting propositions on entertainment oriented events like the Academy Awards. A handicapper who pays close attention to the movie industry and Hollywood news can stay one step ahead of the linesmaker.

With many books taking bets on awards like ‘Best Picture’ before nominations are even announced, a bettor has a great opportunity to find overlay situations. By staying on top of the entertainment news and accurately predicting which films will be nominated, its often possible to get substantially better prices than will be available after their announcement.

The nature of the film industry makes using a future wager in this manner very attractive. The release schedule of films is established in advance and is publicly known. The cut off date for award consideration is the end of the calendar year, so nothing can pop up and become a surprise after that. Of the hundreds of films that are released each year only a handful are legit Oscar contenders and with some work its easy to narrow those down further. After that its just a matter of finding the value.

Futures wagers are also effective for finding value in a sports betting paradigm. By its very nature, sports presents more variables to deal with than does the movie industry. The top teams are well known by both the linesmakers and general public, and seldom can be found at a value price. For example, you can already bet that the New England Patriots will win the 2010 Superbowl but you can be sure that you’re not going to get a good value price on such a well known ‘public’ team.

To use future bets effectively in this manner, you need to dig a little deeper. For example, before the NHL All Star break you could have bet on the Carolina Hurricanes to win the 2009 Stanley Cup at prices as high as 25/1 or 30/1. Now, they’re in the Eastern Conference Finals and priced as low as 5/1.

This play wasn’t based on any sort of certainty that this team would win the Stanley Cup, but rather on the value they presented. In other words, the true odds of this dark horse Cup win is more in the range of the current price so the 40/1 is a clear overlay. Once the playoffs begin, this sort of positional play offers a lot of options to hedge and to lock in a profit.

Don’t forget the field. Many bettors dismiss plays on the field in a futures wager out of hand, thinking that the wager represents all of the entrants not good enough to justify an individual price. If you pay attention, however, you can frequently use a field wager to your advantage. Shortly after Dale Earnhardt’s tragic death at the 2001 Daytona 500 I found a sportsbook that was offering a field wager on the NASCAR rookie of the year award at 15/1. Richard Childress Racing hadn’t officially announced Harvick as the fulltime replacement for Earnhardt, but the word on the streets strongly suggested that would be the case. I knew that Harvick was a talented young driver (he was the 2000 Busch Series rookie of the year), but the unique situation with a rookie driving for one of the best financed and most experienced teams in the sport was too good to pass up. I made the bet on Harvick at just the right time, since after he was announced as the replacement for Earnhardt the line dropped to 5/1. After he won his first race (in his third race) the line dropped to 2/1 and by mid season the field was a -250 chalk.

While this sort of situation is unique, there have been other situations where ‘the field’ presented good values. At one point, it wasn’t unusual to find a ‘field’ bet on NASCAR road races that included the road course specialists like Ron Fellows and Boris Said–meaning you could bet these ‘ringers’ and several others with one bet! Again, these opportunities don’t come around often but the value they present justifies paying close attention to them.

Of course its crucial to shop around for any futures book play to find the best price. It’s a smart thing to do on any wagering proposition, but the price differential on futures wagers often vary widely from book to book. A little bit of work can produce a significantly better price which means more value.

Ross Everett is a freelance writer specializing in sports handicapping, horse racing, travel and falconry. He is a staff handicapper for Anatta Sports where he is in charge of providing daily free sports picks to a number of Internet and broadcast media outlets. He lives in Las Vegas with three Jack Russell Terriers and a wombat.

Profitable Sports Gambling Begins With Discipline

I get some of my best sports gambling concepts from non-sports gambling books. That’s not really surprising, since there are so few serious works addressing sports handicapping and gambling. Of all the various gambling related disciplines, sports gambling is perhaps the most complex. The paucity of written work on the subject is downright shameful in light of that fact. Since there’s so little specific literature available some of the best theoretical resources available to the serious sports gambler can be found in books written for the serious poker player.

Poker–like sports betting–can be a profitable endeavor, and one in which knowledge and skill can counteract the theoretical odds against him. Legendary poker theorist Bob Caro once noted that while there are some professional poker players, sports bettors or blackjack players there’s not a single professional roulette player.

The simple fact is that the house edge in roulette cannot be overcome by any combination of skill, experience and/or discipline. When you win, it is because you get lucky. When you lose, its because you didnt get lucky. To add another Caro concept to the equation, the decisions that the player makes when playing roulette simply dont matter”at least in terms of overcoming the theoretical edge enjoyed by the house. In the long term, it doesnt matter whether you choose red or black, odd or even, or certain numbers. You may get lucky with your choices or you may not, but these decisions do not impact the house edge one iota.

Caro strongly emphasizes the importance of discipline at the table to a poker player’s long term profitability. The average person goes into a casino to “escape” from the real world–in other words, he goes into a casino to temporarily forget the need for discipline that exists in day to day life. He wants to have a few drinks, do a little gambling and enjoy a break from the mundane. Casinos exist to facilitate this ‘escape’ while using their mathematical edge to turn a profit. While poker operates somewhat differently in terms of the casino making money, the motivation that drives a recreational poker player to the tables is no different than in any other casino game.

Caro’s emphasis on discipline in poker is also true for the serious sports gambler. The foundation of a professional sports bettor’s long term success is to approach it with the same discipline, rigor and professionalism that he would any other job. If you continue to think about it in the same terms as the recreational gambler does, you’re in for a difficult road. The more seriousness that you bring to your sports betting, the higher the likelihood that you’ll be successful.

Now, I have no problem with recreational sports gamblers”or any other recreational gamblers for that matter. Recreational sports gamblers are, in fact, crucial to the survival of those of us who do this for a living. Theyre not our prey”like they are for the poker professional”but a thriving recreational sports gambling industry keeps the sportsbooks in business, and what I do is utterly useless if my book doesnt pay me.

If you want to bet recreationally, thats fine and unless you have the dedication and discipline to do it right its probably better for most people. You might be able to win more often and lose less frequently with some enhanced discipline. Ultimately, however, as a recreational gambler the only discipline you really need to know is the same as for other casino games or any hobby”just dont bet more than you can afford to lose. After that, youre on your own.

Ross Everett is a widely published freelance sports writer and respected authority on sports betting odds comparison. He writing has appeared on a variety of sports sites including sportsbooks and World Cup betting sites. He lives in Las Vegas with three Jack Russell Terriers and an emu. He is currently working on an autobiography of former energy secretary Donald Hodell.

Yoga - Flex And Flow

“Flow” describes a simple and fluid number of postures which act to resist the substantial muscle tensing., simultaneously providing the body with challenge as well as release. ”

Benefits of Flex plus Flow :

- Build muscle strength

- Create a strong core center

- Discover how to flow and flex yoga postures

- Time efficient and practical exercise routine

- A great general physique toner

Here is the actual format - Enjoy!

1. Mountain Flow ( take a position in mountain , put hands to cardiovascular center, lift

arms upward, return to heart center - replicate 15 times)

2. Moon Flow - Moon Flowers 10 to 12 times

3. Sun Flow Sunflowers 10 times

4. Seat Flow 10 times

5 . Swan dive Flow ten x

6. Cat/Cow 10 x

7. Spinal Stability ten times

8. Side lank Flow ten times

9. Lower Dog Lift five times

10. Plank Pushes ten times

11. SUN -SALUTATIONS ( EXTRA - NOT IN Disc )

12. Balance Warrior

13. Sun Posture

14. Chair

15. Rotating Chair

16. Lateral Flexion

17. Warrior 2 Flow

18. Side Position Flow

19. Back Flex

20. Chest Extension

21. Triangle Flow Sequence

22. ( BALANCING POSTURES - NOT WITH DVD )

23. Plank Flow

24. ABs Sitting down

25. Boat/Wide Boat

26. Butterfly

27. Turkish Twirl

28. Deceased Bug

29. Bridge Flow

30. AB Work

31. Glutes Bridge Lifting

32. Upside Pigeon

33. Butterfly / Inv.

34. Spinal Twist

35. Fish

36. Knees up to chest

37. Rest

Developed by Beth Shaw, YogaFit Founder, Flex and Flow is a unique fusion of resistance training and total-body stretches. The “Flex” describes isometric holds in traditional yoga postures targeted at strengthening and toning the main muscle groups in the body. Understand how to work the body as well as mind in a unique way. Discover the power and cardiovascular rewards coming from this particular exercise. As being a strengthening system, YogaFit Flex and Flow supplies a comprehensive, time economical and functional way to reinforce all of the muscle groups in our entire body, making use of our own weight as resistance.

Yogafit is the very best resource for anything that has to do with yoga. YogaFit also has great advice pertaining to all features of yoga exercise poses, training, and fitness programs. YogaFit also has a multitude of yoga exercises meetings various times per year led by world renown yoga guru Bethy Shaw.

What Exactly Is Safe Yoga?

Safe (Surroundings, teacher, student)

Attention (to detail, form, poses, quantities)

Functional (provides modifications, options, conscious of exercise science)

Effective (provides flexibility, power, ease of use, balance)

Yoga exercise is much more preferred than ever. Why ? Yoga supplies a complete workout which improves strength, cardio situation, balance as well as versatility. In addition, it improves one’s body awareness, increases physical command and facilitates body competence. Since it entails a highly thorough and integrated approach, yoga creates a longer, slimmer and much more flowing physique - also presently in fashion. Yoga also helps lessen anxiety, stress and fatigue through its awareness, usually-fluid motion and deep breathing emphasis. If Instructors aren’t attuned towards the UNIQUE requirements of the Fitness club atmosphere and customers , injuries can happen. Conventional yoga does not actually exist any longer within the United Staes but Fitness Styles of Yoga are appropriate for Fitness clubs - its really easy.

Safe Yoga is different from conventional yoga for the reason that the poses link inside a fluid heat-building manner. Breathing is connected with movements heating your body the natural way and organically. Rest is encouraged when required. Warm ups are very important as fitness rooms are usually cold. Heat up the body completely with big body moves prior to participating in any kind of complicated or versatility focused posture. Health and fitness moves are integrated like sit-ups and push-ups, lunge and also hold. Transitions are smooth, from pose to pose with a total body exercise focus; all body parts are worked similarly. Modifications and levels can be found to accommodate the needs of a number of different students at different levels within the room. Instructors speak with regards to OR, Either, MODIFY, Encouraging students to Have Breaks, Release expectations, judgment as well as opposition and not push over their limitations. Teachers are to by no means make hostile physical adjustments for their students.

Group Fitness instructors can start by initiating to integrate yoga poses to their own already existing lessons; step, spin, kick box as well as aerobic exercises. This gives a chance to get comfortable with a few basic postures, Before Hiring an Instructor - Respond to these important inquiries:

1.Are you aware of the AFAA as well as ACE Safety Guidelines of Contraindications ?

2.Do you know how these relate to Yoga?

3.Have you been through a formal Yoga Teacher Training

4.Are you currently secure PERFORMING the postures?

5.Will you be at ease TEACHING the poses?

6.Do you have a regular yoga exercise?

If you have answered yes to ALL of the above then its time to begin. Audition these people !

An expert mentality isn’t a welcome kind in the fitness club. Look for an instructor who is very first a fitness trainer, it is a lot easier to train a fitness instructor in yoga than it is to coach a traditional yoga instructor in fitness.

Class Formatting : Whether the instructor prefers to incorporate postures into your current class or develop a Safe Yoga Class, a warm-up interval is necessary. Just as we do not stretch out prior to exercise, we don’t wish to get into complicated yoga poses just before our body is hot and ready to be there. Each class must start with at least 5 minutes of deep breathing. This helps to clean the mind and prepare the body. The breath is actually the solitary key to our yoga practice. By inhaling out and in of the nasal area we maintain the temperature in the body while focusing the mind. Heavy rhythmic breathing is the actual firm foundation on which we build our own Yoga Practice. Teachers should constantly return to breath concentration and need to constantly remind students to do the same.

Rest and recovery are an essential part of the actual Yoga, we all rest for a minimum of five minutes by the end of class to rejuvenate, recover and bring back the body.

Making the space: The majority of instructors teaching in health and fitness facilities do not have the luxury of independent lighting and heating controls. YogaFit is an excellent choice for the health and fitness surroundings with this very cause. If at all possible dim the lights, turn off the Air-con and pick songs for energetic yoga just like the YogaFit Compact disc.

YogaFit offers four ranges of Teacher Education in addition to a lot of specialty programs like PreNatal, Seniors as well as Kids. YogaFit has a full line of academic video tutorials for instructors, clubs and students . See us @ www.yogafit.com

YogaFit instructs hatha yoga with an stress on physical exercise research. With all the popularity of yoga has come a lot of accidents, so YogaFit saw a necessity for an anatomy and alignment education to better train yoga teachers and health and fitness experts to ensure that yoga pupils are getting the benefits of yoga minus the risks.

Yogafit is the greatest resource for anything that has to do with yoga. YogaFit also has great advice pertaining to all features of yoga training, exercise poses, and yoga programs. YogaFit also has a variety of yoga exercises meetings many times per year led by Bethy Shaw, known around the world as a yoga guru and business mogul.

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